Redneck High

Tracking my 2007 fantasy football picks

UCLA line dropped where I wanted it

Sep 19, 2006, 10:08pm | Posted by Steve

Since Sunday night I've been watching the line on the UCLA/Washington game, waiting to see if it would come down from UCLA being favored by 3.5 to that key 3-point margin. It finally dropped to that mark on one of my books, so I jumped on it.

ACTION

9/23 UCLA (-3) at Washington

The way I see it, UCLA is a better team than Washington by at least 10 points. I think the line has been docked because the Bruins were somewhat lackluster in their 26-16 win over weak-ass Rice, especially in their susceptibility to the blitz. But the Bruins have had two weeks to prepare for this game, and coach Karl Dorrell has had his team working on that part of the game since then. Couple that with UCLA's strong defense, especially against the run — and I don't believe the Huskies have a hope if they have to rely on the pass, as their starting QB is barely above 50 percent — and I like how the matchup looks for the Bruins.

I'm expecting UCLA to win by 10 to 14, but I wanted that line of 3 because it's such a key number. If by chance it drops to 2.5, I'll likely double up on my bet.

See the Glossary/FAQ page for definitions of terms and numbers.

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