Redneck High

Monday is way too early in the week for me to place a bet… usually. But the current line on the Miami/Louisville game is one that's making move fast. Right now the Hurricanes are 4.5-point underdogs, but the line is moving. Late last night the pointspread was 5.5, and I fully expect it to shift further against the Canes. So my bet is down now.

ACTION

Miami (+4.5) at Louisville, $22/$20

On paper it does look like Louisville has the advantage — they're playing good football, while Miami didn't look particularly sharp in losing a season-opener against Florida State and has only faced Division I-AA Florida A&M since then — but I think reality slaps the Cardinals in the face in this game. Just ask yourself one question: Can you really imagine Miami losing to Louisville? If it happens it will mean a major rebuilding effort for U of M, but everything in me says it's not to that point in Miami. I expect the Canes to win pretty handily, figure a double-digit margin.

So why am I taking Miami and the points instead of betting straight-up on the moneyline? Well, since the Hurricanes haven't looked like world-beaters yet, I'm not so bold as to pass up spotting the Canes more than a field goal.

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